Biology

Population ecology

Exponential and logistic growth, carrying capacity, life history, predator–prey sketch.

Basics

Exponential growth

With spare resources and low density, numbers can grow as N = N₀ e^{rt}. r is births minus deaths, the intrinsic rate. Doubling time is ln 2 / r. Real populations soon hit food, space, or disease. Bacterial flasks and some invasions look like this early on. Humans shift r and limits with technology, but the exponential is not endless.

Logistic growth and K

Carrying capacity K is a rough head-count the habitat can support for a while. The logistic is dN/dt = r N (1 − N/K); growth slows as N nears K. An S-curve is the ideal. K moves with season, competitors, and people. Overshoot can mean unsustainable harvest or a crash. It is a model, not a full forecast.

Life history

r-leaning species breed fast with little care. K-leaning species have few young and long care. Reality is a spectrum. Survivorship curves split into heavy early death (oysters), steadier loss (some birds), and late death (large mammals). Age pyramids hint at future births. Conservation counts recruitment, not only adults.

Predator–prey sketch

A Lotka–Volterra sketch shows prey rising, then predators, then prey falling — an oscillation. Real systems damp it with refuges, alternative food, and disease. Competitive exclusion says two species on the exact same resource rarely coexist for long. Field work measures how much niches overlap. The equations are for intuition.

Formulas

Exponential growth

N = N₀ e^{r t}, t₂ = ln 2 / r

Continuous time. t₂ is doubling time.

Symbols

  • r intrinsic growth rate
  • t₂ doubling time

Logistic

dN/dt = r N (1 − N/K)

Fastest increase at N=K/2 in this model.

Symbols

  • K carrying capacity

Lotka–Volterra (prey)

dN/dt = a N − b N P

N prey, P predators. a growth, b attack rate. A sketch.

Symbols

  • P predator density
  • b attack coefficient

Key table

MSY sketch near K/2 in the logistic — uncertain and easy to abuse
Density dependence higher density cuts births or raises deaths
Metapopulation local populations linked across habitat patches

In this field